Penybont vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
5º
3º
80
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
PEN
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
BAL
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
CON
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
TNS
41%
23%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 5
TNS
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TNS
7 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
TNS
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAL
54%
22%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
TNS
41%
23%
36%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |