Penybont vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
8º
4º
13
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
89.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 3
PEN
43%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TNS
3 - 0
PEN
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
BAL
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
PEN
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
PEN
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
PON
2 - 0
ABE
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
PON
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CON
3 - 1
PON
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
CAE
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 1
PON
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |