Penybont vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
PEN
45%
23%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
TAF
1 - 2
PEN
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 2
ABE
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BRI
4 - 2
PEN
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
PEN
31%
23%
46%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
LID
4 - 1
MFC
86%
10%
4%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
HAV
1 - 1
LID
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LID
6 - 0
AFC
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ABE
3 - 1
LID
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
LID
1 - 1
GAR
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |