Penybont vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TNS
3 - 2
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
7 - 1
CEF
77%
15%
7%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 2
PEN
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
PEN
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
CAR
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 3
ABE
64%
20%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 4
NEW
26%
24%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 1
CON
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABE
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 0
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +2 |