Penya Encarnada vs UE Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
48%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
6º
5º
65
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
4 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
INT
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
6 - 0
AME
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
SCO
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 2
SCO
23%
22%
55%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
UE Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 0
PAC
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FCS
6 - 0
ESA
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 5
FCS
14%
22%
64%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 0
INT
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
FCS
16%
20%
64%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |