Penrith AFC vs Sunderland RCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 1
PEN
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 1
PEN
78%
14%
9%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
WHI
2 - 0
PEN
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 3
BIS
23%
20%
56%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
SRC
47%
22%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland RCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SEA
2 - 2
SUN
37%
22%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
SUN
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SUN
3 - 2
NEW
51%
21%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SUN
2 - 4
STO
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 1
SEA
73%
15%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |