Pennarossa vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
PEN
5 - 3
FIO
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 2
DOM
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
SGI
0 - 0
PEN
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 1
DOM
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 2
JUV
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
VIR
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 2
FOL
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
DOM
0 - 3
FOL
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
FAE
1 - 1
FOL
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |