Penelense vs CD Torres Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
PEN
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 1
ALC
27%
24%
50%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
PEN
34%
25%
42%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 3
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 2
PEN
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Torres Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CDT
2 - 0
ALC
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
0 - 0
CDT
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CDT
2 - 2
MAR
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 0
CDT
73%
17%
11%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CDT
3 - 2
GDA
20%
23%
58%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +3 |