Peñarol vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 5
PEÑ
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
DAN
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
GOI
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2010 |
GOI
1 - 0
PEÑ
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
RIV
2 - 1
PEÑ
44%
24%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 2
LFC
58%
22%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LFC
1 - 1
BVS
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
LFC
2 - 2
CEN
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
LFC
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
LFC
1 - 1
DAN
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |