Peñarol vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CER
1 - 1
PEÑ
19%
26%
55%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
DAN
1 - 4
PEÑ
25%
28%
48%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
BOS
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
FEN
1 - 0
PEÑ
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 1
MWA
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 1
BOS
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 1
FEN
47%
25%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
DEP
3 - 1
DEF
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |