Peñarol AC vs Operário AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
PEN
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FAS
2 - 1
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 3
PEN
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 2
SAN
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
PRI
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Operário AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 0
FAS
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 1
HOL
41%
24%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 0
OPE
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 3
IRA
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
HOL
4 - 3
OPE
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |