Peñarol AC vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
YPI
13%
21%
66%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PRI
1 - 1
PEN
25%
24%
52%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 0
IRA
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
PEN
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
CLI
76%
15%
8%
|
52 | 11 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 1
JCF
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 7 | 45 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
FAS
76%
17%
8%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |