Peñarol AC vs Iranduba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
PEN
16%
20%
64%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
PRI
0 - 1
PEN
34%
25%
42%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
SUL
2 - 1
PEN
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 1
PEN
45%
26%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
3 - 0
RIO
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Iranduba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
IRA
0 - 1
PRI
34%
23%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 2
IRA
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 0
IRA
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
IRA
1 - 0
PRI
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
IRA
0 - 2
NAC
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |