Peñarol AC vs Atlético Acreano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
HOL
0 - 1
PEN
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 2
IRA
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 2
PEN
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 0
NAC
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 5
ATM
7%
15%
78%
|
43 | 79 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Acreano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2012 |
RIO
4 - 2
ATL
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 4
RIO
13%
17%
70%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
ATL
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
IND
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
AND
1 - 3
ATL
29%
22%
48%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |