Penapolense vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
COM
1 - 1
PEN
64%
22%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 3
OLI
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
PEN
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
RIO
48%
25%
28%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
PEN
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
VOT
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
BAT
4 - 2
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
RIO
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 3
DES
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 3
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |