Penalva Castelo vs Castro Daire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+105%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
OFR
1 - 1
PEN
46%
23%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FAV
3 - 2
PEN
20%
22%
58%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 1
VIS
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SER
1 - 3
PEN
11%
19%
70%
|
26 | 6 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
FAV
1 - 1
CAS
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 0
VIS
81%
13%
7%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SER
0 - 4
CAS
10%
18%
73%
|
21 | 6 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SCP
0 - 0
CAS
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |