Penafiel vs Vizela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
OLH
1 - 1
PEN
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 1
GON
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
VIT
0 - 1
PEN
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 0
RIO
31%
28%
42%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
TRO
0 - 0
PEN
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vizela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
VIZ
0 - 1
VAR
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
VIZ
1 - 0
POR
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
OLH
2 - 1
VIZ
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
VIZ
0 - 1
GON
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
VIT
2 - 0
VIZ
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |