Peña Sport vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
55.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ATH
2 - 0
PEÑ
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 0
PEÑ
35%
27%
39%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
RUN
27%
25%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
CDT
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
LPA
4 - 0
PEÑ
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
SDA
1 - 2
RUN
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
RUN
3 - 1
LEG
33%
27%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
RUN
1 - 3
PBO
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
RUN
27%
25%
47%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FUE
0 - 1
RUN
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |