Peña Sport vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
44.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
CDA
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
RRI
1 - 0
PEÑ
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
BUR
33%
26%
41%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ARE
6 - 0
PEÑ
69%
20%
11%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
SJU
2 - 1
PEÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NAX
0 - 0
IZA
33%
27%
41%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 2
NAX
33%
24%
44%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
NAX
4 - 1
UDM
23%
25%
53%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +4 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
RRI
1 - 0
NAX
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
UDL
3 - 0
NAX
49%
23%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |