Peñacastillo vs Olimpia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.3%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñacastillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SRO
3 - 2
PEÑ
54%
21%
26%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PEÑ
1 - 5
UNI
50%
20%
30%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CDV
1 - 1
PEÑ
87%
9%
4%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
PEÑ
1 - 4
SSD
26%
20%
54%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
ISD
64%
17%
19%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
OFC
0 - 0
COM
45%
24%
31%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
TCD
0 - 0
OFC
73%
15%
12%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
OFC
0 - 1
LIE
34%
23%
43%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
FOC
4 - 1
OFC
60%
19%
21%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
OFC
1 - 5
JDM
34%
24%
43%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |