Pego vs Recambios Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
PEG
45%
25%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PEG
0 - 3
TAV
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TCF
0 - 1
PEG
52%
24%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PEG
0 - 2
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ALG
2 - 2
PEG
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Recambios Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
REC
2 - 1
LLO
35%
25%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ALB
2 - 1
REC
66%
20%
14%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
REC
0 - 1
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
4 - 1
REC
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
REC
0 - 2
CDT
34%
26%
40%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |