Copa Verde . Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Paysandu vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 2
PAY
16%
20%
65%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
PAY
2 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
PAY
0 - 1
CAM
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAY
14%
22%
65%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
TAP
2 - 1
PAY
12%
19%
69%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 3
NAC
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 0
RIO
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
VIL
71%
19%
11%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
NAC
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
PRI
1 - 5
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +2 |