Paysandu vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
PAY
2 - 1
SCI
25%
23%
52%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
COR
0 - 0
AME
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1972 |
AME
1 - 0
SAO
36%
24%
41%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 1972 |
PAL
3 - 1
AME
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
COT
2 - 1
AME
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
AME
0 - 0
COR
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |