Copa do Brasil . 1/32
Global 3-1
Paysandu vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
PAY
0 - 1
BOT
19%
26%
55%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
REM
2 - 1
PAY
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
PAY
0 - 0
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
REM
2 - 0
PAY
32%
25%
42%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAY
9 - 0
FRA
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
ABC
0 - 1
OES
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ABC
0 - 1
ARN
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
ARN
1 - 1
ABC
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 2
ABC
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 2
ABC
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |