Paulista vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
PAU
0 - 0
CEA
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
CRB
1 - 1
PAU
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GAM
3 - 4
PAU
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
PAU
0 - 1
AVA
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
PAU
2 - 3
ITU
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
COT
2 - 2
VIT
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
VIT
1 - 0
BRA
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
VIT
0 - 0
CRI
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
FOR
2 - 1
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 3
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |