Paulista vs Tupã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 0
PAU
22%
25%
53%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
PAU
2 - 1
SJS
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 5
PAU
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
AMP
2 - 0
PAU
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
PAU
4 - 0
MOG
81%
12%
6%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
TUP
3 - 0
USA
37%
23%
41%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
FER
3 - 1
TUP
45%
26%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
TUP
1 - 2
JOS
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
BAN
3 - 1
TUP
33%
26%
41%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -3 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
TUP
0 - 2
OSV
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |