Paulista vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
68.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
RBB
1 - 0
PAU
61%
23%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
PAU
3 - 1
ITU
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAU
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
PAU
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
PAU
5 - 0
47%
23%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
COR
1 - 1
SAO
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAO
53%
24%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 0
AMF
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 2
NAC
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
RBB
74%
18%
9%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |