Paulista vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
PAU
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
PAU
3 - 1
AMP
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ASS
0 - 2
PAU
16%
23%
62%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
PAU
1 - 1
CAT
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
TUP
1 - 1
PAU
20%
25%
55%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
PAU
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
IND
2 - 0
ASS
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
AMP
3 - 1
IND
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 1
IND
42%
27%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
IND
3 - 1
NOV
59%
20%
20%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |