Paulista vs Amparo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ASS
0 - 2
PAU
16%
23%
62%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
PAU
1 - 1
CAT
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
TUP
1 - 1
PAU
20%
25%
55%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
PAU
2 - 0
USA
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
USA
0 - 8
PAU
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Amparo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
AMP
3 - 1
IND
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
AAI
1 - 1
AMP
35%
24%
42%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
AMP
0 - 0
ECN
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
MFC
2 - 1
AMP
25%
23%
53%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
AMP
0 - 0
MFC
62%
20%
19%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |