Patronato vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
RAF
1 - 0
PAT
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
PAT
4 - 1
TFE
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 0
PAT
56%
26%
19%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
ATT
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SMA
1 - 2
PAT
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
TFE
0 - 2
CAU
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CAU
1 - 0
ATT
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
INS
0 - 1
CAU
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
CAU
3 - 0
BUC
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2011 |
IRV
1 - 2
CAU
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |