Primera Nacional . Jor. 8

Patronato vs Rosario Central analysis

Patronato Rosario Central
69 ELO 77
7.4% Tilt -10%
742º General ELO ranking 165º
36º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
34.3%
Patronato
27.2%
Draw
38.5%
Rosario Central

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
Patronato
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.5%
Win probability
Rosario Central
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Patronato
-11%
-10%
Rosario Central

ELO progression

Patronato
Rosario Central
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Patronato
Patronato
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2012
GLP
Gimnasia La Plata
3 - 1
Patronato
PAT
59%
25%
17%
69 75 6 0
17 Sep. 2012
PAT
Patronato
0 - 3
Aldosivi
ALD
46%
25%
29%
69 70 1 0
09 Sep. 2012
GIM
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 - 1
Patronato
PAT
39%
29%
32%
70 65 5 -1
02 Sep. 2012
PAT
Patronato
4 - 0
Defensa y Justicia
DYJ
48%
26%
26%
69 70 1 +1
26 Aug. 2012
FER
Ferro Carril Oeste
0 - 1
Patronato
PAT
41%
31%
28%
69 70 1 0

Matches

Rosario Central
Rosario Central
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2012
CEN
Rosario Central
3 - 1
Atl. Tucumán
ATT
56%
26%
18%
77 68 9 0
15 Sep. 2012
OLI
Olimpo
2 - 0
Rosario Central
CEN
41%
26%
33%
77 73 4 0
08 Sep. 2012
CEN
Rosario Central
2 - 0
Nueva Chicago
CHI
60%
25%
16%
77 65 12 0
01 Sep. 2012
BAN
Banfield
2 - 1
Rosario Central
CEN
38%
27%
36%
78 71 7 -1
25 Aug. 2012
CEN
Rosario Central
0 - 0
CA Huracán
HUR
58%
24%
17%
78 66 12 0
X