Patriotas Boyacá vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
53.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 0
PAT
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 2
EQU
34%
30%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
ENV
2 - 2
PAT
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 2
TOL
20%
25%
54%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MIL
4 - 0
PAT
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
4 - 3
FOR
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
NOB
1 - 3
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
JUN
50%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |