Paternò vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 0
PAT
33%
24%
44%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
RAA
2 - 3
PAT
34%
25%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
PAT
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 2
LAT
33%
26%
42%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
BIA
2 - 2
PAT
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
LAT
0 - 0
CAV
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAV
1 - 0
RAA
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 1
CAV
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAV
1 - 0
POR
63%
23%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LIC
2 - 2
CAV
26%
24%
49%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |