Paternò vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
45%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 0
PAT
56%
25%
19%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ROT
1 - 0
PAT
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 1
CCI
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
ACI
1 - 1
PAT
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 1
MDR
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 1
USC
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
GEL
51%
26%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
LIC
0 - 1
CIT
32%
27%
41%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 1
ACI
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ROT
1 - 1
CIT
30%
28%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |