Paron vs Besancon RC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
75.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FCV
1 - 1
PAR
38%
23%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
JUR
23%
22%
56%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FCG
1 - 0
PAR
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 0
MON
14%
17%
68%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SOC
5 - 0
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Besancon RC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BRC
1 - 0
FCG
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BRC
2 - 1
SEL
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FCV
1 - 4
BRC
10%
15%
75%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BRC
1 - 0
JUR
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
FCG
0 - 3
BRC
12%
16%
72%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |