Vaprus Pärnu vs Tammeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
61.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
7º
6º
27
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 2
TAL
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 2
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
KAL
8%
19%
73%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
0 - 0
PAR
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 2
PAR
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Tammeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 1
TAM
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TAM
0 - 0
PAI
16%
24%
60%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
3 - 0
TAM
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 6
TAM
20%
21%
59%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 0
KAL
22%
22%
57%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |