Vaprus Pärnu vs FCI Tallinn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 1
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
RAK
35%
23%
43%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 1
TAM
46%
22%
32%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TAM
0 - 1
PAR
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TIN
3 - 0
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
FCI Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TIN
2 - 1
TAM
70%
17%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TIN
3 - 0
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LEV
4 - 3
TIN
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TIN
9 - 2
LOT
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FCP
2 - 4
TIN
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |