Vaprus Pärnu vs Rakvere JK Tarvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
13%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
FLO
2 - 0
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 1
LEV
13%
20%
67%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
KIV
4 - 3
PAR
62%
20%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
WAR
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rakvere JK Tarvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
RAK
2 - 1
TAL
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
JOH
1 - 2
RAK
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
RAK
3 - 4
TJK
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
WAR
4 - 0
RAK
78%
14%
9%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FLO
6 - 2
RAK
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |