Vaprus Pärnu vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
4 - 2
TAM
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
TRA
5 - 2
PAR
27%
22%
51%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PAR
6 - 0
KIV
63%
18%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
KUR
79%
13%
8%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FLO
7 - 2
PAR
55%
22%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PAI
0 - 3
KAL
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SIK
4 - 1
PAI
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
PAI
1 - 0
JOH
59%
20%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PAI
0 - 1
TAM
69%
17%
14%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SIK
4 - 0
PAI
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |