Vaprus Pärnu vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
71.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
PAI
6 - 2
PAR
91%
7%
2%
|
42 | 73 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
TJK
3 - 0
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 2
FLO
7%
16%
77%
|
43 | 77 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 2
TAM
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
KAL
3 - 0
TJK
71%
18%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
KAL
3 - 0
TRA
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TAM
1 - 1
KAL
20%
24%
57%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
LEV
1 - 1
KAL
60%
21%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
KAL
2 - 1
TAL
74%
17%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |