Parma vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
VNZ
1 - 0
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 3
ACP
64%
19%
18%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
COM
2 - 0
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 0
SSS
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
PAR
3 - 0
ACM
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
NOV
2 - 2
MOD
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
LEC
0 - 0
NOV
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 1
SSS
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
COM
3 - 0
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 1
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |