Parma vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
PAL
1 - 1
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOD
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAG
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
NOV
5 - 0
PAR
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 2
BRE
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 1
ASS
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
COM
3 - 1
CAT
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |