Parma vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
REG
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PIS
0 - 0
PAR
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 1
FRO
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ASC
1 - 3
PAR
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 3
TER
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
ASC
43%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VNZ
1 - 2
BAR
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
6 - 2
BRE
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAG
0 - 1
BAR
62%
22%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NUO
0 - 1
BAR
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |