Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-8
AD Parla vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
66.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Parla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
ADP
2 - 0
PBL
60%
24%
17%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1984 |
BAL
1 - 0
ADP
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
MNC
0 - 2
ADP
37%
34%
30%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
ADP
1 - 2
TAL
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
RAY
1 - 2
ADP
68%
22%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
SPO
2 - 1
ATM
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1984 |
BET
0 - 1
ATM
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
ATM
1 - 2
FCB
42%
25%
32%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
VCF
0 - 0
ATM
47%
25%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1984 |
ATM
1 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |