PSG vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MON
0 - 4
PSG
17%
19%
64%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
NAP
1 - 1
PSG
38%
23%
40%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
PSG
2 - 1
LIL
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
PSG
21%
21%
58%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
PSG
2 - 2
NAP
64%
19%
17%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
RSO
2 - 2
TFC
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 1
AMI
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
STR
1 - 1
TFC
50%
24%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 1
LOR
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 3
MPL
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |