PSG vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ASN
0 - 1
PSG
20%
25%
56%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
DZG
0 - 2
PSG
34%
26%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PSG
1 - 0
REI
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
PSG
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
FCP
1 - 0
PSG
46%
25%
29%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
MAR
31%
26%
44%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 0
MAR
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
PSG
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
5 - 1
AEL
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
4 - 1
MAR
22%
25%
53%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |