PSG vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1991 |
BRE
0 - 0
PSG
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
AUX
0 - 1
PSG
55%
26%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
PSG
2 - 0
MPL
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1990 |
SPO
0 - 0
PSG
39%
30%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
PSG
1 - 1
REN
76%
17%
8%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
NIC
2 - 0
BRE
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
CAN
2 - 1
NIC
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1990 |
NIC
2 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
TFC
1 - 2
NIC
51%
28%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1990 |
NIC
0 - 0
GIR
35%
30%
34%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |