PSG vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
AMI
0 - 3
PSG
9%
15%
76%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
PSG
1 - 2
GUI
85%
10%
5%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
PON
0 - 4
PSG
6%
13%
81%
|
89 | 26 | 63 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
PSG
1 - 0
NAN
89%
8%
3%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
ORL
1 - 2
PSG
8%
15%
77%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 1
REN
32%
26%
43%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 1
ASS
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
PSG
1 - 2
GUI
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
STA
2 - 4
GUI
1%
4%
95%
|
74 | 15 | 59 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
GUI
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |