Paranoá vs Real Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GAM
2 - 0
PAR
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
1 - 1
PAR
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAN
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
80%
13%
8%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 3
CEI
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
0 - 0
DOM
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 0
SAN
67%
19%
13%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 1
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
DOM
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
4 - 1
CEI
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |