Paranoá vs Real Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
LUZ
2 - 2
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
GUA
62%
19%
19%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
DOM
1 - 1
PAR
57%
21%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
MIN
1 - 0
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 2
CEI
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
DOM
1 - 1
CEI
41%
23%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
DOM
1 - 2
LUZ
47%
23%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 2
DOM
27%
23%
51%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
DOM
1 - 1
PAR
57%
21%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CEI
2 - 1
DOM
54%
21%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |